The accidental primaries
How the media can make a difference in the campaign that wasn't supposed to
matter
by Dan Kennedy
They are the most unexpected and least remarked-upon winners of the New
Hampshire primary: ordinary voters, who, against all odds, actually have two
closely fought primary races from which to choose, at a moment when they're
finally beginning to pay attention.
Early on, the prognosticators intoned that Al Gore and George W. Bush would be
all but crowned by now. When the Iowa caucuses went according to the script,
some pundits suggested that it was already over, and that the other candidates
should just get out (see "Don't Quote Me," News and Features, January 28).
Certainly that's what the party pros wanted. After all, the primary schedule
was front-loaded and compressed for the express purpose of avoiding divisive
intraparty battles.
But John McCain's stunning victory over Bush, and Bill Bradley's surprisingly
close loss to Gore, have made it likely that the Republican and Democratic
nominations won't be decided until Super Tuesday, March 7. Even voters in
Massachusetts, who go to the polls on that day, may have a rare opportunity to
do something more important than merely ratify (or reject) two already
certified nominees.
These developments make the media's role crucial. The media have something they
had no reason to expect just a few weeks ago: a real campaign, the attention of
the public, and a reform-versus-establishment dynamic that is not just cheap
political symbolism but has some semblance of reality. What we have now is an
honest-to-God national campaign. As has been repeated to the point of
cliché, the retail portion of the campaign is now over. From this point
forward, the four remaining serious candidates will be flying from tarmac to
tarmac, delivering set speeches and getting their messages across through TV
and radio advertising. If news organizations can get beyond their obsession
with who's up and who's down and actually focus on the issues and the
characters of the candidates, they have an unusual opportunity to help voters
make an informed decision when casting their ballots.
"What do citizens need to help them decide which of these candidates would make
the best president? That's what the press should be offering them, in addition
to the race itself," says Tom Rosenstiel, director of the Washington-based
Project for Excellence in Journalism. Unfortunately, according to the results
of a study released by Rosenstiel's organization last week, the media's
performance fell short of that standard in the run-up to Iowa and New
Hampshire: only 13 percent of stories were about substantive matters such
as the candidates' ideas, reputations, and records, whereas more than
80 percent focused on fundraising and campaign tactics.
Still, you can hardly argue that the voters of New Hampshire were uninformed,
not with the hundreds of town meetings held by McCain, Gore, and Bradley
(Bush's lack of same was itself important information for New Hampshire voters,
judging from the primary results). The unprecedented number of televised
debates let political junkies across the country in on the action, too. Trouble
is, the town meetings have now become little more than photo-ops, and the
debates have all but disappeared from the airwaves. Yet it's only now that
normal people are starting to tune in.
Surveys taken by the Vanishing Voter Project, at Harvard's Kennedy School of
Government, show that the proportion of people who are paying attention to the
presidential campaign rose from 12 percent to 32 percent between
January 2 and 30. Tom Patterson, who's co-director of the project, is hoping
the newest data -- compiled immediately after the New Hampshire primary -- will
show another big boost in interest. In other words, nothing the media have done
up until this moment has counted for as much as what they will do during the
next few weeks. Patterson says that now is the time to "go deep into these
candidates and really try to do both solo looks and comparative looks."
Or as Jay Rosen, a New York University journalism professor and the author of
last year's What Are Journalists For? (Yale University Press), puts it,
"Journalists can recognize that the dawn of an attentive public is a key
moment, and that the journalism you might do now should be perhaps different
from what you would do otherwise." Rosen's recommendation: "Take four or five
very important themes and make the next two weeks the time when you put the
issues to the candidates."
Of course, to a large extent the media can only play the hand they've been
dealt. On a wide range of issues, especially on economics and trade, the four
serious candidates are in broad agreement. These are, after all, professional
politicians from the establishment, pro-business, centrist wings of their
parties, which makes it all the more amusing to listen to them try to paint
their opponents as extremists (see "Don't Quote Me," News and Features,
December 31).
Nevertheless, there are two crucial issues the media can illuminate, and those
issues are related: the character of each of the candidates, and the role of
money in the political system.
Ever since McCain announced he was running for president, pollsters have said
that campaign-finance reform ranks low on the list of voters' concerns. Yet he
and Bradley have made reform the centerpiece of their insurgent campaigns, and
both -- especially McCain -- have done better than expected. The reason for
this likely isn't a tremendous public outcry for campaign-finance reform per
se, but, rather, is a yearning for the reform of a political system that's
hopelessly out of touch with the concerns of average people. Bradley, with a
reputation for rectitude, and McCain, whose courage and candor tend to offset
concerns about some of his more questionable actions, have been able to
capitalize on that yearning. Bush, tool of the Republican establishment, and
Gore, shaker-down of Buddhist nuns, stand firmly on the other side of the
reform divide, no matter how much Bush may wish to portray himself as an
outsider or Gore to cast himself as a long-time advocate of publicly financed
campaigns.
In fact, it's possible that the issue of money and politics may be reaching one
of those rare moments of critical mass at the same time that the presidential
campaign is at its peak. Last week, the Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative
team of Donald Barlett and James Steele wrote the first in what is intended as
a year-long series for Time magazine. Titled "Big Money & Politics:
Who Gets Hurt," the debut painted a sordid picture of favors worth millions of
dollars for big donors, and a thoroughgoing screwing-over for those who don't
play the game. Barlett and Steele's series comes on the heels of a new book by
Charles Lewis, head of the Center for Public Integrity. Titled The Buying of
the President 2000 (Avon), Lewis's book details the moneyed interests that
hope to profit from this year's presidential campaign.
"This is a window, and it's incumbent on the media to shove something through
that window," says Washington City Paper editor David Carr, a vocal
critic of what he's called the "fuck the issues" approach of the Washington
Post, the paper he follows most closely. Carr's suggestion: use the
campaign, and especially the differences between the McCain-Bradley reform axis
and the Bush-Gore establishment axis, to have "a serious conversation about
money and politics."
Unfortunately, even some of the best journalism produced during this campaign
has tended to fall into hoary paradigms from campaigns past. McCain and, to a
lesser extent, Bradley have been subjected to an old-fashioned hypocrisy watch.
In early January, the Boston Globe detailed McCain's intervention with
the Federal Communications Commission on behalf of a major contributor. Last
week, the Wall Street Journal outlined his cozy relationships with
lobbyists who come before the Senate Commerce Committee, which he chairs. The
media have also delved into Bradley's actions on behalf of the pharmaceutical
industry, which casts a long shadow in New Jersey, where he served as a US
senator for 18 years. These stories are not unimportant. But McCain himself has
pointed out that the current system makes hypocrites of all reform-minded
politicians, since they can't survive unless they play the game. The media
should take a closer look at how (and whether) the reforms proposed by McCain
and Bradley would really change the corrupt system, and not just content
themselves with pointing out the obvious fact that Bradley and McCain are, of
necessity, part of that system.
New Hampshire was, except for those who live there, a spectator sport. Now
comes the participatory part. By the time the polls close on March 7, more than
70 percent of the delegates to the Democratic and Republican national
conventions will have been chosen. Emily Rooney, host of WGBH-TV's Greater
Boston and a former television news director at the local and network
levels, thinks her much-maligned medium did a good job of covering New
Hampshire. But now that everything is on the line, what will the media's next
act be? "If you really weren't paying attention to the New Hampshire primary,
then you missed a lot of that," says Rooney. Her hope is that, with the
marginal candidates on the Republican side now either gone or having proven
they have little support, the networks will zero in substantively on the four
legitimate candidates.
Not that campaign coverage is about to turn into an exercise in civic
journalism. As Danny Schechter, executive editor of the
Media Channel, puts it, "The inside-the-Beltway political
pundits are the ones who are still shaping the coverage." Indeed, it may well
be that every network sighting of David Gergen or Cokie Roberts subtracts
slightly from our collective political intelligence. But that shouldn't detract
from the special quality of what will take place over the next few weeks.
"More voters may have more influence over who gets the Democratic and
Republican nominations than they have had in many years," Richard Berke wrote
in Sunday's New York Times. "And the compressed calendar could resemble
a European-style election: a compact but intense primary season where many
voters pay attention."
This is a gift, and an entirely unexpected one at that. Let's see whether the
media can rise to the occasion.
Dan Kennedy can be reached at dkennedy[a]phx.com.
Articles from July 24, 1997 & before can be accessed here