Clinton's ambition, Arafat's war
(continued)
by Seth Gitell
By October 1998, Clinton had persuaded Netanyahu, who was increasingly
unpopular at home and abroad, to participate in another one of those
made-for-camera peace talks at the now-famous Wye River Plantation (which also
served as the temporary home of Elián González). During a
historic signing ceremony on a glorious autumn day at the White House, Clinton
sat by Arafat, Netanyahu, and the courageous King Hussein, whose cancer
treatments had already caused him to lose his hair. But the agreement didn't
hold, and the president made plans to put in place a more compliant Israeli
leader.
In Ehud Barak, Clinton found a tough, well-decorated Israeli general -- one
very much in the image of Rabin -- who would follow a line closer to that of
the White House. Instead of relying on an ambassador who would promote the
Labor Party candidate, this time the president dispatched three close allies --
Robert Shrum, James Carville, and Stan Greenberg -- to work for a Labor
victory. In addition, in keeping with the classic Clinton tactic of divide and
conquer, the president invited another former general and ex-Netanyahu ally,
Yitzhak Mordechai, to the White House -- apparently as a way to build up
Mordechai as a hawkish alternative to Netanyahu. The effort may not have been
necessary: Netanyahu was a deeply flawed figure who had made enemies on both
the right and the left. But Clinton gave the appearance of having doled out
favors -- favors Barak would someday have to return.
After his victory, Barak immediately made good on his campaign promise to
withdraw Israeli forces from Lebanon. It was a move that relieved the Israeli
public, but seemed to embolden many in the Arab world -- including Arafat. Even
more dramatically, Barak came to Camp David this July prepared to deal. The
Israeli prime minister offered Arafat 90 percent of the West Bank and indicated a
willingness to share Jerusalem. The Jerusalem concession, in particular, marked
a huge shift for an Israeli leader.
But Arafat balked. He wouldn't take the deal or propose a reasonable
counteroffer. Some argue that Arafat was incapable of making any final
agreement with Israel. But others, including Egypt's leader, Hosni Mubarak,
have said that Clinton pushed everything too fast. Clinton's timetable required
the signing of a final deal before January 2001-- the end of his last term in
office -- and that schedule all but guaranteed violence.
So, well before Ariel Sharon set foot on the Temple Mount last month -- the
ostensible "cause" of the recent violence -- the stage had been set for a
confrontation. When Clinton sent the word down to United Nations ambassador
Richard Holbrooke to abstain from a resolution condemning Israel for the recent
violence, he fanned the flames of Palestinian anger. But what did Clinton
expect after coddling Arafat for five years? This anger culminated in the mob
killing of the two Israeli reservists, which, in turn, forced the hesitant
Barak to authorize the Israel Defense Force attack on Ramallah and Gaza last
week.
What's interesting today is the silence from both Bush and Gore on all this.
Both presidential candidates have advisers and friends ready to explain
Clinton's complicity in the recent violence, but so far neither candidate has
been willing to do more than utter inane platitudes.
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CAUTION AHEAD:
neither candidate seems to have what it takes to support Israel. But if no American leader sends a clear message, the Middle East could
erupt in war.
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For conservatives, especially the neo-conservatives and their progeny, Bush's
position is particularly galling. Early in the presidential campaign, Austin
signaled that Bush would be his own man on foreign policy -- not a clone of his
father, who had a tense relationship with Israel. Just weeks after being
re-elected as governor in 1998, Governor Bush visited Israel and even took a
helicopter tour of the country with Ariel Sharon. The Bush camp put out the
word that such hard-liners as Richard Perle and, to a lesser extent, Paul
Wolfowitz were advising Bush on foreign policy. Yet so far, Bush's
foreign-policy comments have been coming from Condoleeza Rice, who made her
first official remarks on the Middle East before the Arab-American Institute in
Michigan. The move sent an unmistakable message about whose voice a Bush
administration would listen to on foreign policy. As a result, the pro-Israel
conservatives who rallied behind Ronald Reagan in the 1980s are on the brink of
finding themselves without a home.
Meanwhile, two of the biggest critics of Clinton's foreign policy are close
advisers to Gore. One penned a letter to Clinton in 1998 that was co-signed by
Senate colleagues from both sides of the aisle, calling on the president to
back off from pressuring Netanyahu. The author's name? Joseph Lieberman.
(Lieberman, however, was not among the 94 senators who objected to the recent
UN abstention.) The other is Martin Peretz, owner of the New Republic. A
vehement critic of Clinton's policy regarding Israel, Peretz is nonetheless one
of Gore's staunchest supporters. He and others would love to see Gore follow up
his pick of Lieberman and his "I am my own man" speech at the convention by
distancing himself from Clinton's Middle East policy. (William Kristol, the
editor of the Weekly Standard, mapped out just such a scenario in the
magazine's October 23 editorial.)
Sources in the Gore camp say the vice-president would like nothing more than to
do just that. Gore, according to these sources, believes America's abstention
on the UN resolution condemning Israel was a mistake. He would have voted
against the resolution, thereby killing it in the Security Council. They
also note that when relations became frosty between Netanyahu and Clinton, Gore
remained on good terms with the Israeli prime minister -- welcoming him to
dinner and traveling to Israel for the country's 50th anniversary when Clinton
declined to make the trip. But, as of this writing, Gore has failed to separate
himself from Clinton.
As a result, many observers believe that Bush will look better on the issue
than Gore -- simply by virtue of not seeming as reflexively pro-Israel. One
Democratic Senate staffer says he believes Bush has already won the battle on
foreign policy. "If I were on the campaign I'd tell Lieberman to take the rest
of the campaign off -- say it's a Jewish holiday," the staffer says. "This is
what the Republican high command's been dreaming of. The average American knows
there are riots in Israel. The average American knows that Jews are killing
Arabs. The average American knows that Arabs are killing American sailors. The
average American knows that Lieberman is Jewish. It's a catastrophe for
Democrats."
The Palestinian people, to be sure, deserve dignity, honor, and recognition of
their national rights. The Oslo peace talks marked a recognition of these
rights. But participating in negotiations means not getting everything you
want. That's why Barak was prepared to cross almost every previously inviolate
Israeli line in the hope for peace. The Palestinians, on the other hand, have
given the impression that they may not be willing to compromise -- that, in
effect, they want everything. That would mean the destruction of Israel and
Zionism, to which no Israeli leader can agree.
A successful candidate seeking office as conflict rages in the Middle East
ought to be the one who is willing to stand up before the world and articulate
what is right -- the way Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan did when he served as
America's ambassador to the United Nations in 1975. When the international body
passed the "Zionism is racism"
resolution, Moynihan declared that America
"does not acknowledge, it will not abide by, it will never acquiesce in this
infamous act."
That might be too much to hope for, however. Bush sent the wrong message during
the second debate by saying he would preside over a "humble nation." The Saddam
Husseins and the Osama bin Ladens of the world hate America, whether it is a
humble nation or not. What they respect is a strong nation that stands by its
friends.
Gore's comments in that debate, to be sure, suggested a coherent, strong
foreign policy. But neither candidate seems to have what it takes to support
Israel the way Moynihan did. The pundits keep telling us that this is an
election without issues. Well, we've just been handed one -- and neither
candidate is doing anything about it. In an election where polling data seem to
rise and fall on what color tie a candidate wears during a debate, we probably
shouldn't be surprised. But if no American leader sends a clear message of
support for Israel between now and January, the Middle East could erupt in
war.
You better believe future historians will remember that.
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Read more about the Middle East in Don't Quote Me
Seth Gitell can be reached at sgitell[a]phx.com.
The Talking Politics archive