The Boston Phoenix
July 31 - August 7, 1997

[Features]

Unchallenged power

A city in flux leaves Menino unopposed. But the calm may be deceiving.

by Yvonne Abraham

Here we are, the deadline for mayoral hopefuls to declare come and gone, and all we have is this insistent nothingness. And Thomas Menino. How un-Boston. Local political commentators have bemoaned the fizzler that is this year's mayoral campaign and pined for the great battles of yore. James Michael Curley and Honey Fitz. Kevin White and Louise Day Hicks. Ray Flynn and Mel King. Those were the days. Sigh.

Of course, there are obvious reasons for the dearth of mayoral challengers this year. Menino's huge popularity, his enormous war chest, his first-term-incumbent invincibility, to name a few. The economy is good. Crime is down. Why throw the guy out? How could you beat him? Why would you try?

All of that would scare off opponents in any city. But some of the reasons for Menino's free ride stem from deeper changes that go back a generation. Many of those who once sustained politics in this town -- long-time residents and the middle class -- have moved away. And though potential challengers may not all have disappeared, they're laying low right now.

For a generation or more, the number of people willing to vote in Boston has dropped steadily. (The historic race of 1983, in which Ray Flynn ran against Mel King, is the one exception.) In 1963, the year Gabriel F. Piemonte ran against John F. Collins, 186,400 residents voted. Thirty years later, when Ray Flynn left the city's top job wide open to become ambassador to the Vatican, only 118,300 cast ballots. But even that was an improvement over the 1991 election, in which only 89,900 voters chose between Flynn and Ed Doherty. That was just 15.6 percent of the city's population.

At the heart of Boston's unnaturally quiet political scene are its changing demographics. Though Boston's population has dropped only slightly over the last generation, its face has changed enormously. Over the past 20 years or so, many families (especially middle-class families) who'd lived here for generations moved to the suburbs and disengaged from the city's politics.

"One thing that's contributed to this disinterest in politics is this flight out of the neighborhoods by the black and white middle class," says former city councilor Mike McCormack. And as the city's long-time residents have been moving away, fewer of those who remain, or of those who came to Boston more recently, have been taking their places at the ballot boxes. Boston's minority population has been edging over the 40-percent mark, but blacks, Latinos, and Asians have not voted in anywhere near the numbers that would reflect their burgeoning presence in Boston's neighborhoods.

Many of them may simply be too new to the city to know much of the history that defined it, or to be interested in its politics. "The city is a less nativist place than it was a generation ago," says former city councilor Larry DiCara. "Fewer people have lived here their whole lives. They're from elsewhere, and who's on city council and who's mayor makes little difference to them."

Former city councilor Richard Iannella echoes DiCara. "The dynamics of the city have changed so much," he says. "So many people who live here now weren't here in the White years [1967-1983] and don't care about the local [issues] as much as the national. As long as the streets are clean and they see a few flowers, they don't have a complaint."

For mayor in 2001?

They may be laying low right now, but almost immediately after Menino begins his second term, a bunch of 21st-century mayoral hopefuls will begin inching toward the next ballot.

Thomas Menino

Neither White nor Flynn could stay away from a third term. Although Menino once spoke of wanting to serve only two, it'll be hard for him to resist an encore. But if he does go for three, he'll almost certainly face competition.

Ralph Martin

His name is on every political junkie's list. The Suffolk District Attorney, a Republican, would be the first black mayor this city has ever had. He's also been a master at mobilizing voters and building coalitions across racial and political lines. But he may have his eyes on a spot higher up the Commonwealth's food chain.

Peggy Davis-Mullen

She's been Menino's toughest and most public critic, a kind of anti-mayor, for a couple of years now. If that doesn't cost the at-large city councilor her seat in November, she might be a logical contender come 2001. She's good in front of cameras, too.

John Nucci

The former at-large city councilor, who topped the ticket in 1993, would certainly make education an important election issue -- he was elected president of the school committee in 1985, his first year on the committee. Now Suffolk Superior Court clerk-magistrate, he's still got a hankering for the hustings. Add to that good connections, a strong voter base, and experience as a Menino adversary.

Mickey Roache

The former police commissioner is as popular as all get-out, having topped the city-council ballot in 1995. Now an at-large councilor, he could also score mayoral tips from his close childhood friend, Raymond L. Flynn. Of course, he may just decide to run for sheriff -- a job with a six-year term -- instead of mayor next year.

Thomas Keane

The erudite city councilor from the Back Bay might get the nod from voters who fancy themselves similarly enlightened, but the question is how many such voters will be left in Boston at the turn of the century -- and whether they'll buck tradition by deigning to vote. Besides, it's hard to tell how the issues Keane's been most outspoken about -- regulating news boxes and promoting domestic-partner health benefits -- will play in Hyde Park.

-- YA

The political erosion works two ways: the potential voters left behind are cold to city issues, and the pool of potential candidates shrinks as promising people -- and those who would vote for them -- head for the hills. "Lots of politicians were part of this general middle-class flight out of the city," says political commentator Jon Keller. "You had a whole generation of political talent blown out as potential candidates moved to Winchester for better schools and back yards."

Even if they'd hung around in the city, the opportunities to run for political office in this town have shrunk over the last few mayoral administrations. The city council is fairly weak compared to those in many other cities, with no power to make major city appointments and limited control over the size of the city's budget. But at least the council -- with its nine at-large members -- was once a good apprenticeship for citywide office. That's been less true since 1983, when the proportion of district to at-large representatives changed. Now only four of the council's 13 members are elected citywide; the other nine councilors, preoccupied with narrower issues, are less able to develop support across many neighborhoods.

The elected school committee, too, was once a kind of citywide political apprenticeship for would-be mayoral candidates. Since 1991, however, its membership has been appointed, a change that was one of Mayor Ray Flynn's most important and controversial legacies.

Indeed, the politics of education is one of the central reasons for the electoral lethargy in which Boston now finds itself. The state of the schools, of course, is a major reason why long-time residents have been leaving the city. "A slow but steady erosion began in earnest with busing, in 1975," says Mike McCormack, "and when public schools began to be an unacceptable place for black and white parents to put their kids, the flight began."

But the schools figure into the equation in another way. The battles over desegregation were for many years the fuel that powered Boston's political machinery. "You know where I stand," went the campaign slogan of Louise Day Hicks, mayoral finalist in 1967 and 1971 (both times against Kevin White). Where she stood was firmly and passionately at the vanguard of the movement against school integration. The busing crisis inflamed political passions in this city as nothing had done for at least a century. It set blacks against whites. It set neighborhoods against City Hall. And it set working-class city residents against the middle-class suburbanites who would tell them what to do.

The controversy over busing mobilized communities, built politicians' careers, and defined political debate. But as desegregation played itself out, some of the ill will dissipated, and some of it just disappeared. Whites moved out of the city (some taking their grudges with them), leaving a public school system that is 83 percent minority today.

And when Ray Flynn got the elected school committee replaced by an appointed one in 1991, he appeared to have defused education as a political issue for good. A racially charged topic that had driven the city's politics for a generation was slowly becoming apolitical, and there was little to take its place.

Even race itself had become less explosive. Flynn, who opposed busing during the 1970s, had become mayor by winning a 1983 Democratic run-off against Mel King, a black state rep who made history by getting to the final. It was a compelling race, drawing more voters to the polls than had bothered to show in a generation -- 201,000. But perhaps surprisingly, the election took some of the divisiveness out of city politics. Both men campaigned on promises to improve race relations, and neither tried to score political points off his own skin color. Mayor Flynn's trademark was visiting the neighborhoods, especially minority neighborhoods, and showing up at the scenes of racial mêlées to salve the city's wounds. In 1987, he ordered the integration of public-housing developments in South Boston, which made him no friends in his old neighborhood but did resonate symbolically throughout the city.

Flynn, continuing where White had left off, did not necessarily smooth the city's racial divisions or improve the lives of its minority residents, but they effectively stopped those divisions from defining Boston politics.

So it's not surprising that the 1993 election was a very civilized affair -- maybe too civilized. Eight candidates ran for mayor, and there seemed to be little difference between them. Public-radio talk-show host Christopher Lydon, who was one of the contenders, called his seven competitors "a custodial caretaker field designed to make the city comfortable in its decline." The Globe's Chris Reidy described them as "a bland bunch, eight plodders long on perseverance and short on dazzle, vision, and fire."

And Menino, the winner of that election, has continued what his predecessors began. Education is his first priority, but his goal seems to be to keep the politics out. He ran an extremely aggressive campaign to retain the appointed school committee (a ballot referendum in the 1996 election), and he appointed a school superintendent, Thomas Payzant, who has steered clear of his job's political implications to focus doggedly on the quality of education.

Not that education has been cleansed of politics completely: witness councilor Peggy Davis-Mullen's push for a referendum on neighborhood schools. Or pick up the South Boston Tribune: there are neighborhoods where some folks have long, stubborn memories of the busing era, and vote accordingly.

But where kids go to school is no longer as important as what they do when they get there. It no longer drives the political debate in this town.

So what does? Not much, these days, apparently. There has been much talk about how little those Bostonians who are conscious of local politics at all expect from city government these days. Christopher Lydon abhors the vacuum that is voter expectation in Boston. "People have this sense that Menino is a decent guy, and that he's not stealing furniture out of public buildings [and that's all that matters]," he says.

That's certainly made politics here less tumultuous, but the relative harmony comes at a high price, says Lydon. Without a demanding electorate, important issues are ignored. "I'm sure he's not [stealing furniture]," he says, "but this is extended to the notion that the city is well-governed -- and it's not. The schools are not a model of anything, and people have stopped talking about it. The problem is, when the discourse dies, it's not just that news stories go begging -- a certain amount of self-government dies, and critical intelligence among the citizenry dies."

Of course, this needn't be the case. Boston's new demographics might eventually help the city's politics crystallize around new issues, especially if new and minority residents mobilize and make demands. Affordable housing, public safety, jobs in the city, poverty -- all could become important and explosive municipal electoral issues if the population of the city keeps evolving as it has.

Who knows? If the parents of 83 percent of Boston school kids manage to mobilize politically, the quality of education might become just as important and galvanizing an election issue as the location of that education was a generation ago.

Which would take us a long way from those political passions of yore.

With any luck

Yvonne Abraham can be reached at yabraham[a]phx.com.