The first touted his job creation credentials, the second appealed to the vote-rich senior set, the third highlighted his proposed Made in America Block Grant, designed to retool factories and retrain workers for the new economy.

"I'm David Cicilline and I approved this message which was . . . made in Rhode Island," the candidate says at the end of the spot, with a group of workers joining in for the "made in Rhode Island" line.

Eric Hyers, Cicilline's campaign manager, argues that the message of industrial renewal is playing particularly well in the Blackstone Valley region that Lynch is counting as his base.

Message, money, name recognition. These are the building blocks for the Cicilline campaign — and if he wins, proof that the traditional metrics of electoral power still matter, even in a supposed year of the outsider.


TO NOVEMBER

The professionalism of Cicilline's operation, combined with Democrats' built-in advantages in a deep-blue state like Rhode Island, would make him the heavy favorite in a November match-up with Loughlin, a state representative from Tiverton.

But in the wake of Scott Brown's surprise victory in the race for another Kennedy seat — the Senate post once held by the late Ted Kennedy in Massachusetts — Democrats are taking the GOP challenger seriously.

Of course, the Brown-Loughlin analogy only goes so far. Brown had the element of surprise in his race and Democrats will not be caught flat-footed again. Moreover, the soon-to-be-crowned Massachusetts senator was running in a special election after Ted Kennedy's death and had no competition from other races around the country for conservative money and volunteers.

But the wave of anger at the Obama administration that helped carry Brown to victory has only grown stronger in recent months. And analysts are giving Republicans a good shot at erasing the Democrats' 77-seat margin in the House.

The nonpartisan Cook Report, which handicaps Congressional races, has moved a dozen Democratic-held seats from its "likely Democrat" or "lean Democrat" categories into "toss-up" over the last two months. And the report suggests a handful of seats once considered safe for the Democrats will now have to be defended. Among them: the Kennedy post.

Of course, it is easy to overstate the case. The seat, if on the radar now, is still in Cook's "likely Democrat" category — hardly teetering on the brink.

And while Kennedy's decision to bow out of the race was probably good news for Loughlin on balance – incumbents are difficult to beat, even in a "change" year — it made it nearly impossible to raise money from conservatives around the country who would relish the chance to knock off a Kennedy but otherwise have scant interest in a small, heavily Democratic district in Rhode Island.

Indeed, Loughlin will be competing for national dollars with dozens of Republican challengers running in far more conservative districts — the sort of districts that voted Democratic amid the anti-Bush surges of 2006 and 2008 but naturally cleave to the GOP.

Loughlin says he is not expecting much help from the party structure itself. When he first hopped in the race against Kennedy, he jokes, he got a meeting not with the director of the National Republican Congressional Committee or even an intern, but with an assistant to the intern.

< prev  1  |  2  |  3  |  4  |   next >
  Topics: News Features , Politics, Rhode Island, Congress,  More more >
| More


Most Popular
ARTICLES BY DAVID SCHARFENBERG
Share this entry with Delicious
  •   LIBERAL WARRIOR  |  April 10, 2013
    When it comes to his signature issues — climate change, campaign finance reform, tax fairness — Whitehouse makes little secret of his approach: marshal the facts, hammer the Republicans, and embarrass them into action.
  •   AT BROWN, A WIN FOR CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIVISTS  |  April 11, 2013
    A key Brown University oversight committee has voted to recommend the school divest from coal, delivering a significant victory to student climate change activists.
  •   HACKING POLITICS: A GUIDE  |  April 03, 2013
    Last year, the Internet briefly upended everything we know about American politics.
  •   BREAK ON THROUGH  |  March 28, 2013
    When I spoke with Treasurer Gina Raimondo this week, I opened with the obligatory question about whether she'll run for governor. "I'm seriously considering it," she said. "But I think as you know — we've talked about it before — I have little kids: a six-year-old, an eight-year-old. I'm a mother. It's a big deal."
  •   THE LIBERAL CASE FOR GUNS  |  March 27, 2013
    The school massacre in Newtown, Connecticut spurred hope not just for sensible gun regulation, but for a more nuanced discussion of America's gun culture. Neither wish has been realized.

 See all articles by: DAVID SCHARFENBERG