MEDIA
LOG BY DAN
KENNEDY
Notes and observations on
the press, politics, culture, technology, and more. To sign up for
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here. To send
an e-mail to Dan Kennedy, click
here.
For bio, published work, and links to other blogs, visit
www.dankennedy.net.
For information on Dan Kennedy's book, Little People: Learning to
See the World Through My Daughter's Eyes (Rodale, October 2003),
click
here.
Wednesday, December 31, 2003
"CBS News doesn't pay for
interviews." No, but CBS's entertainment division does. And that
distinction is behind a sickening
media revelation.
Sharon Waxman reports in today's
New York Times that Michael Jackson and/or his business
managers talked CBS into paying him $1 million - on top of the $5
million he had already received - for an entertainment program that
he's headlining this Friday and for his appearance on 60
Minutes this past Sunday.
As Waxman describes it, the payment
was handled just delicately enough for CBS News executives to have
deniability - although that old Nixonian phrase "plausible
deniability" is certainly not what comes to mind. Absolutely no one
is going to buy this load of garbage.
Here's the killer, admittedly
dependent on an unnamed source:
"Michael was in his room,"
the associate said. "Ed Bradley had set up. Basically Michael
wanted to see the rest of the money. Bradley kept saying, 'Don't
worry, we'll take care of it.' Michael said he wouldn't do the
interview unless they paid. It came to a stalemate. But they
didn't want to put anything in writing."
Bradley ended up walking away from
the interview then, but he did it later.
The best quote is from Orville
Schell, dean of the University of California at Berkeley's Graduate
School of Journalism, who tells
the Los Angeles Times' Tim Rutten:
[CBS] has gone
from one humiliating event to another in recent years. But it's
particularly demeaning to compromise your integrity so
fundamentally over something as worthless as Michael Jackson. I
suppose you could make a case for getting a story that laid bare
the terrorist networks operating inside Iraq by paying for it. But
to lose your reputation, as CBS now has done, to get more Michael
Jackson? That's really sad.
As Schell notes, CBS News has been
a pathetic joke for years. But 60 Minutes, while by no means
perfect, has managed to maintain its basic integrity. Not now. It's
gone.
And since there are zero
indications that there will be any firings, resignations, or
heartfelt promises not to do it again, then it's fairly safe to say
that it's gone for good.
Nomar, Mr. Nice Guy. Gordon
Edes has a fascinating inside
look in today's Boston
Globe at what went wrong with the Alex Rodriguez
trade.
But there's another angle to this,
too. Edes gives free rein to the Red Sox ownership to do damage
control with Nomar Garciaparra, who almost certainly would have been
traded if Rodriguez had come to town.
(Edes does not disclose that the
Globe's corporate owner, the New York Times Company, is part
of the Red Sox' ownership group. Since this is mainly a baseball
story, I'm agnostic on whether he should have.)
What really stands out is that Sox
principal owner John Henry really, really wants Garciaparra to know
is that the only reason he considered this deal in the first place
was that he was convinced his star shortstop didn't want to stay in
Boston.
Here are some excerpts from an
e-mail that Henry sent to Edes:
I am not sure of the exact
date, but almost immediately after this meeting, I heard from
[general manager] Theo [Epstein] that the gulf
between [Garciaparra's agent] Arn Tellem's demand and the
club's view of the right number for Nomar was so wide that he felt
we were not going to be able to re-sign our shortstop....
I had a hard time imagining
finally winning a World Series in Boston without Nomar being there
at that great moment. Nevertheless, we faced the realities such as
they were and determined to move forward.
Former Globe baseball
reporter Peter Gammons, writing for ESPN.com, has a rather
different take on the
breakdown. According to Gammons, the principal bad guy in this was
Sox president Larry Lucchino, who pissed off Rodriguez by
grandstanding against the Players Association for nixing the proposed
downward restructuring of Rodriguez's $252 million
contract.
Lucchino doesn't come off all that
well in Edes's telling, either. But the Edes version is that the man
Lucchino really infuriated was Rodriguez's current employer,
Texas Rangers owner Tom Hicks.
The Edes version leaves the Sox
with the best of both worlds: the possibility that the trade will
still take place, along with indications that if it doesn't,
Garciaparra could be signed to a new, long-term contract.
Two Dans, no waiting. Secret
Agent Cathy is upset
that I went after Dan Savage yesterday
for suggesting that Americans deserve to die because the US propped
up Saddam Hussein for many years.
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Tuesday, December 30, 2003
How the American Prospect saves money. Based on this, I'd say by recycling an old Bill Bradley drawing and claiming that it's Howard Dean. (For a closer view, click here.)
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Savage war. Dan Savage, the
editor of Seattle's The Stranger and a noted sex columnist,
caused a stir earlier this year when he came out in favor of the war
in Iraq. He hasn't changed his mind, but this week he
offers
some regrets:
I regret that the
president of the United States is a lying sack of shit. And I
regret the first piece I wrote about Iraq. I was taken in by the
Bushies' attempts to link Saddam and Osama, and conflate Baathism
with Islamo-fascism, and the first piece I wrote is so credulous
that I can't read it without cringing. I put too much stock in
Condoleezza and her mushroom clouds, Colin and his mobile weapons
labs, and Cheney and his alternate reality.
Savage hangs his hat on Christopher
Hitchens's coat hook, arguing that the United States had a
responsibility to remove Saddam Hussein's lunatic homicidal regime,
especially since we had so much to do with propping him up over the
years. It's an eminently respectable argument, even if I don't agree
with it.
Unfortunately, Savage goes insane
at the end. Here is his last paragraph:
Saddam Hussein was our man
in Baghdad for years, our creation, our problem. And that it's
costing American lives and money to remove Saddam Hussein from
power is, in a sense, only right.
Money? Okay, fine. But
lives? Is Savage serious? Is he really sitting up there in the
Pacific Northwest, somehow satisfied or even pleased that American
soldiers are making the moral equation even by doing us the favor of
getting killed in a war that Savage himself doesn't have to fight?
This is repulsive.
Remedial reading for Savage:
today's New York Times front-pager
on Army Sergeant Jeremy Feldbusch, who, while serving in Iraq, was
hit by a piece of shrapnel that blinded him and damaged a part of his
brain that controls emotions.
Savage may believe it's "only
right" that Feldbusch's life has been ruined, and that Donald
Rumsfeld's long-ago handshake with Saddam has thus been somehow
negated. What Times reporter Jeffrey Gettleman really shows
us, though, is the true horror of war - and why it is a moral
obscenity that the Bush White House lied about weapons of mass
destruction.
Savage should stick to what he's
good at. Like licking
doorknobs.
The Dissector's year in
review. Danny Schechter, the executive editor of Mediachannel.org,
blogs some of the lowlights of 2003 here.
And check out his new personal website, Dissectorville.
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Monday, December 29, 2003
Why technology won't kill
spam. A remarkable thing happened when I downloaded my e-mail a
few moments ago. Forty-six messages flooded into Microsoft Entourage.
Three - all of them legitimate - stayed in my in box. The rest were
transferred to a folder labeled "Spam" before I could even look at
them.
I began paging through the spam
folder and found the usual foolishness. Come-ons for Viagra
substitutes. A get-rich-quick scheme from Nigeria. Pornography. And
lest you think that's a fairly light load of garbage, be advised that
this was only since 10 p.m. yesterday.
Yet I also found one message that
shouldn't have been there. It was an e-mail I had sent out last night
that for some reason bounced back. If I hadn't inspected my spam
message-by-message, I never would have seen it. And that's why -
despite an impressive error rate of just under 2.2 percent - I'm
going to remove the spam-filtering software I've been playing with
for the past week.
That's the problem with trying to
eliminate spam. Losing one good message is worse than having to sort
through scores of bad ones. The program I installed a little more
than a week ago - SpamSieve
- is highly rated, and it does seem to do an excellent job. But no
program is perfect, as the SpamSieve manual itself acknowledges: it
promises "to catch nearly every spam message yet produce very few
false positives."
Well, if there are any false
positives, or even the possibility of one, then I have to go through
my spam folder with exactly the same attentiveness as I did with my
inbox before I installed SpamSieve, don't I?
This isn't the software designer's
fault, of course. (And, in fact, it would work a little better if I
were more diligent: I keep getting warning messages that I've
programmed SpamSieve to be oversensitive by showing it too many bad
messages and not enough good ones.)
But the false-positive problem
shows the limits of technology, and demonstrates further why computer
users are dependent on Congress to deal with spam in an intelligent
way. Will a new law called CAN-SPAM - whose implementation is
described
in today's Boston Globe by Chris Gaither - make a
difference?
I hope so, but I'm skeptical. As
this recent piece
at Wired.com makes clear, CAN-SPAM may make so small a difference as
to be nearly worthless.
One of the best overviews is
this
article by Christopher
Caldwell that was published in the Weekly Standard last June.
Since spammers depend on sending out millions upon millions of
e-mails - a practice that now costs them virtually nothing - Caldwell
proposed taxing e-mails - a very un-Standard-like approach,
but one that might actually work. He wrote:
A penny-per-e-mail charge
would drive most spammers out of business, subject them to jail
time for tax evasion if they hid their operations, and cost the
average three-letter-a-day Internet user just ten bucks a year. If
even that seems too hard on the small user, then an exemption
could be made for up to 5,000 e-mails per annum.
Sounds good to me. In the meantime,
CAN-SPAM takes effect on New Year's Day. Perhaps when people see how
ineffective it is, they'll demand something more toothsome.
Caldwell's article would be a good place to start.
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Wednesday, December 24, 2003
Yes, Senator, freedom
from religion, too. Religion is starting to sneak into the
presidential campaign in a fairly rancid way. The latest example is
Joe Lieberman, who, according to this
article in the New York
Times, is going after Howard Dean for being too
secular.
In what Times reporter Diane
Cardwell calls a "veiled swipe" at Dean, Lieberman reportedly
said:
I know that some people
believe that faith has no place in the so-called public square.
They forget that the constitutional separation of church and
state, which I strongly support, promises freedom of religion, not
freedom from religion. Some people forget that faith was central
to our founding and remains central to our national purpose and
our individual lives.
The good senator, of all people,
should know that religion is treacherous territory in public life -
and that if religiosity is a good, old-fashioned American value, so
too is anti-Semitism. If Lieberman were actually in a position to
win, his Orthodox Judaism might prove to be a problem with some of
the very people he's trying to win over. It's unseemly of him to go
after a fellow Democrat on religious grounds.
Still, Lieberman's outburst is not
without context. This week's New Republic features a
cover
story (sub. req.) by
Franklin Foer arguing that Dean simply isn't religious enough to get
elected in November. Foer notes a survey showing that "70 percent of
Americans want their president to be a person of faith."
"Howard Dean is one of the most
secular candidates to run for president in modern history," writes
Foer, citing Dean's switch from the Episcopal to the Congregational
church over his anger at the Episcopal diocese's opposition to a bike
path he was championing; his admission that he rarely goes to church;
his marriage to a Jewish woman, Judith Steinberg, whose religious
views also appear to lean secular; and his frequent attacks on
religious fundamentalists. (Representative Dean soundbite: "I don't
want to listen to the fundamentalist preachers anymore.")
But is it the religion of the
politician that matters, or the politics of the religious? Earlier
this week, the Boston Globe published a column by its former
Washington-bureau chief, David Shribman, on a well-known phenomenon:
the overwhelming preference that Christian fundamentalists have for
Republicans. (You can find it here,
on the website of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, where Shribman
is the executive editor.)
Shribman notes:
In the 2000 election, Bush
swept more religiously observant voters by large percentages -
and, in the case of white evangelical Protestants, by a margin of
more than five to one.
Shribman doesn't quite connect the
dots, so I will: this wide split took place despite such
Gore-ian ick as his wearing a WWJD ("What would Jesus do?") bracelet.
For the fundamentalists, it's not whether you were born again; it's
where you stand on such cultural issues as abortion rights and
same-sex marriage.
It doesn't matter to me whether a
candidate is a secular Protestant, such as Dean; a Catholic, such as
John Kerry; or someone like Wesley
Clark, whose father was
Jewish and who apparently switches to a different Christian
denomination every couple of years.
Then again, I suppose I'm one of
those secularists who Joe Lieberman's mother warned him
about.
A close encounter with mad-cow
disease. News that a downer cow in Washington State has been
diagnosed with mad-cow disease has brought this low-simmering story
back to a boil. Here
is the story from the
hometown Seattle Times.
Two years ago I identified mad cow
as a shamefully undercovered story and urged the media to get off
their butts and start reporting. You can read it here.
The best - and most horrifying -
overview remains Ellen Ruppel Shell's piece in the Atlantic
Monthly of September 1998, "Could
Mad-Cow Disease Happen Here?"
So put down that burger and start
reading.
And have a Merry Beef-free
Christmas!
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Tuesday, December 23, 2003
Interview Ben Affleck? Go
directly to jail! Not that anyone should be surprised, but now
comes evidence that the administration's thuggishness toward foreign
visitors extends to journalists as well.
According to this December 13
editorial
in the Toledo Blade, of all places, "immigration and customs
people are arresting, detaining, and deporting journalists arriving
here without special visas. This is so even when they come from
nations whose citizens can stay for up to 90 days without a visa if
they are arriving as tourists or on business."
The Blade recounts the story
of Peter Krobath, of an Austrian entertainment magazine called
Skip, who was jailed overnight like a common criminal after he
arrived in the US to interview Ben Affleck and attend a screening of
the movie Paycheck. His crime: showing up without a
visa.
There are other horror stories as
well. Read the whole thing.
More information is available on
the website of the International
Press Institute, based in
Austria. Be sure to check out this letter
to Secretary of State Colin Powell, which includes more details on
Krobath's detention. This is outrageous:
When Mr. Krobath landed at
Los Angeles Airport (LAX) on 2 December 2003 to cover the
above-mentioned junket, he was questioned about the purpose of his
visit and further interrogated for almost five hours. After he was
body-searched, and his photograph and fingerprints were taken, two
security officers led him handcuffed to an isolation room. Later
on he was transferred to a downtown prison where he spent the
night together with about 45 persons (some of whom were convicted
criminals) in a room with iron benches and two open toilet
facilities but without blankets despite the low temperature. His
luggage and his personal belongings were kept separately.
The letter urges Powell to support
a resolution by the American Society of Newspaper Editors, which has
asked Congress to include journalists in the US Visa Waiver Program
for Visitors from Friendly Countries.
Unfortunately, ASNE's
website
does not appear to have anything on it about this grotesque assault
on the civil liberties of international visitors.
This story bears
watching.
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Monday, December 22, 2003
The overweening arrogance of
George Will. George Will's buckraking ways have landed him in
some trouble today. And what's not to love about that?
In this morning's New York
Times, Jacques Steinberg and Geraldine Fabrikant report
that Will was one of several conservative deep thinkers - along with
National Review founder William Buckley, geriatric war
criminal Henry Kissinger, Carter-era hawk Zbigniew Brzezinski,
Margaret Thatcher, and others - who were paid to lend intellectual
legitimacy to Conrad Black, a newspaper baron who is himself in quite
a bit of hot water over his alleged corrupt business
practices.
It seems that not only did Will
provide a fawning blurb for Black's new biography of Franklin
Roosevelt - the recipient of an unusually harsh assessment
in the current New York Times Book Review by former Boston
Globe editor Michael Janeway - but he has also sucked up to his
secret benefactor in his column as well.
Here are the (literal) money
paragraphs:
In a column syndicated by
The Washington Post Writers Group in March, Mr. Will recounted
observations Mr. Black had made in a London speech defending the
Bush administration's stance on Iraq.
In a rebuttal to Mr. Bush's
critics, Mr. Will wrote, "Into this welter of foolishness has
waded Conrad Black, a British citizen and member of the House of
Lords who is a proprietor of many newspapers."
Asked in the interview if he
should have told his readers of the payments he had received from
Hollinger, Mr. Will said he saw no reason to do so.
"My business is my business," he
said. "Got it?"
Alan Shearer, editorial director
and general manager of The Washington Post Writers Group, said he
was unaware of Mr. Will's affiliation with Hollinger or the money
he received. "I think I would have liked to have known," Mr.
Shearer said.
Buckley comes in for some
criticism, too, but in the main his response is that of an
old-fashioned gentleman: he has often disclosed his friendship with
Black, but not his financial arrangement. Will, by contrast, looks
like a money-grubbing worm.
Of course, Will has made a career
out of using his column to advance his own interests, political,
financial, and otherwise. Most memorably, in 1980 Will secretly
prepped Ronald Reagan for his debate against Jimmy Carter - a
coaching session made all the easier because the Reagan campaign had
improperly obtained a copy of Carter's briefing book. Will later went
on television and pronounced Reagan's performance to be that of a
"thoroughbred." Norman Solomon has a good synopsis here,
on the Fairness
and Accuracy in Reporting
website.
FAIR's Steve Rendall
recounts
a bit of unpleasantness that descended on Will in 1996, when he
continually tore into Bill Clinton at a time when Will's wife, Mari
Maseng, was working for Clinton's opponent, Bob Dole. Will,
naturally, didn't disclose.
George Will is an elegant writer,
and he sure knows how to wear a bowtie. But he has always
subordinated the interests of his readers to his own, narrower
causes.
I'm glad to see that his editor is
pissed off. Editorial-page editors across the country might consider
whether Will has now proven himself to be a repeat offender with no
possibility of rehabilitation.
Convention-al wisdom. The
contracts, as they say, have already been signed. But are Mayor Tom
Menino and planners for the Democratic National Convention really
going to walk into a full-blown catastrophe now that a viable
alternative has been identified?
Last Friday, the Boston
Herald's Cosmo Macero wrote
(sub. req.) that the new convention center in South Boston would be
ready by next July if the go-ahead to move the DNC were
given.
It is a brilliant idea. The
FleetCenter is a disaster waiting to happen. There is no place to put
the media (and the modern convention is, above all else, a media
show). And security in such a crowded neighborhood is bound to be so
odious that it will leave a bad taste for years to come.
Check this out from Macero's
column:
"If we got the call from
the mayor or the committee ... I believe we could do it," says Jim
Rooney, chief executive of the Massachusetts Convention Center
Authority and Menino's one-time chief of staff. "It would look
different. But it could and would be made to look like a good
media event, which is by and large what conventions are."
The analogous situation is
Philadelphia, which hosted the Republican National Convention in
2000. Most of the events took place in the downtown, all within a few
blocks. But the convention itself was held far from the downtown, in
a facility surrounded by acres of unused land - plenty of room for
tents to house the media, security, and the like.
It was an ideal set-up, and one
Boston would do well to emulate. Now that it appears this could
really be done, the only intelligent response is to make it happen.
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Thursday, December 18, 2003
How stupid can you get? This
past January, Charles Pierce wrote a profile of Ted Kennedy for the
Boston Globe Magazine that included a passage so mean it took
my breath away. It still does. Here it is:
That's how you survive
what he's survived. That's how you move forward, one step after
another, even though your name is Edward Moore Kennedy. You work,
always, as though your name were Edward Moore. If she had lived,
Mary Jo Kopechne would be 62 years old. Through his tireless work
as a legislator, Edward Kennedy would have brought comfort to her
in her old age.
Yet, as I wrote
at the time, some people -
especially conservatives - just didn't get it. James Taranto, who
writes the "Best of the Web" column for the Wall Street
Journal's OpinionJournal.com, correctly called it "pure poison."
But others, including the stunningly overrated Mark Steyn, actually
thought Pierce was absolving Kennedy for his criminally
negligent conduct in the death of Mary Jo Kopechne.
And so it goes. A little while ago
I learned that the Media
Research Center, an
organization that documents so-called liberal bias, had awarded
Pierce its "Quote
of the Year." First place!
No explanation is offered, but, for connoisseurs of the MRC, none is
needed. Obviously Pierce is being singled out for an extreme act of
liberal woolly-headedness - for daring to suggest something so stupid
and offensive as the notion that Kennedy's liberal deeds somehow
offset what he failed to do that day at Chappaquiddick.
Gah! As if!
The MRC no doubt got that idea from
idiot boy Bernard Goldberg's new book, Arrogance: Rescuing America
from the Media Elite. I haven't seen it (lest you think that
means I'm not entitled to insult him, be assured I've read his
first
comic book); but Pierce
recently wrote during a guest turn on Altercation
(no direct link available) that Goldberg, too, thought Pierce was
trying to say something nice about Ted Kennedy.
Good grief. Conservatives love to
complain about the state of public education. Yet, clearly, it is
they who can't read.
New in this week's
Phoenix. George W. Bush has a new running mate:
Saddam
Hussein. And that's going
to cause a whole heap of trouble for the Democrats.
(Note to Bernie Goldberg and the
Media Research Center: I'm not actually trying to make people think
that Saddam is going to replace Dick Cheney on the Republican ticket,
or that Bush secretly likes Saddam, or anything like that.
Okay?)
Also, who was Robert
Bartley?
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The judge sure is funky.
Federal appeals-court judge Richard Posner has a problem. It is the
same problem experienced by such great minds as the Reverend Pat
Robertson and Nixon-era born-again Chuck Colson: he cannot conceive
of two men or two women having sex with each other without animals
somehow being involved.
To be fair, Posner's concern is
also shared by US Supreme Court justice Antonin Scalia, who really
does possess a first-class legal mind, even though the other parts of
Scalia's brain are apparently still mired somewhere in the eighth
grade.
But Posner, though a conservative,
has never previously revealed himself to be a raving nutcase. So I
was stunned to read his barnyard epithets in the latest issue of the
New Republic.
Posner - who is himself a
major-league
cat fancier -
reviews
(sub. req.) a pro-gay-marriage book called Same-Sex Marriage and
the Constitution, by Evan Gerstmann. Whether deliberately or not,
he ends up telling us far more about himself than he does about
Gerstmann's book.
To wit:
And I have not even tasked
him with explaining what the state's compelling interest is in
forbidding a man to marry his beloved dachshund.
...
But I suspect that more object
for the same reason they would object to incestuous or polygamous
marriages, or allowing people to marry their pets or their SUVs -
that it would impair the sanctity, degrade the institution, of
marriage (their marriage) to associate marriage with
homosexuality.
Posner also appears to accept
Scalia's dissenting argument in Lawrence v. Texas that, by
overturning state anti-sodomy laws, "the majority had written
finis to any law based on moral disapproval with no
accompanying proof of tangible harm, such as laws forbidding sex with
animals." (I'm quoting Posner, not Scalia.)
What is going on here? Earlier this
year I quoted
12 years' worth of bizarre outbursts equating homosexuality with
bestiality. Now a respected federal judge writing for a liberal,
pro-gay-rights magazine is getting into the act.
Are the critters really that much
at risk?
And by the way, for a magazine that
has generally been supportive of same-sex marriage, TNR's
cover package this week is heavily tilted the other way.
Jeffrey
Rosen is against it, and
purports to show flaws in the Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court's
reasoning in the Goodridge decision. Cass
Sunstein is for it, but
only because he thinks it's a good idea that states such as
Massachusetts experiment with it before trying to impose it at the
federal level.
I actually found myself pining for
Andrew
Sullivan.
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Wednesday, December 17, 2003
Why red and blue doesn't
work. The problem with dividing the country into blue states and
red states, argues Robert David Sullivan, is that more than 40
percent of voters in the red states voted for Al Gore four years ago
and more than 40 percent of voters in the blue states voted for
George W. Bush.
In other words, not only is the
country divided right down the middle; so are the states
themselves.
Sullivan - an associate editor at
CommonWealth magazine and a former Boston Phoenix
editor - has attempted to figure out what's really going on by
dividing the country into 10 regions whose voting patterns have been
similar since the 1970s. The result - "Beyond
Red and Blue" - is a model
of detailed analysis, based on county-by-county election results and
various demographic measurements such as ethnicity, education, and
income.
Many states are split under
Sullivan's model, but not Massachusetts. We - along with much of the
rest of New England, parts of New York, and the West Coast from San
Francisco to the Canadian border - are part of the Upper Coasts,
whose politics are both liberal and quirky. In 2000, for instance,
the Upper Coasts were Gore's second-strongest of the 10 regions, but
also Ralph Nader's strongest.
New Hampshire and Maine, oddly
enough, are split between the Upper Coasts and the Sagebrush region.
There's a lot more snow than sagebrush in northern New England, but
Sullivan groups them with the West for their libertarianism. The
Sagebrush counties are anti-regulation and not at all taken with the
religious-conservative base of the Republican Party - which explains
why they were only Bush's third-strongest region in 2000, behind
Southern Comfort (the deepest of the Deep South) and Appalachia (a
band stretching from central Pennsylvania through northern Alabama
and Mississippi).
Among Sullivan's most interesting
findings is that though the Bush-Gore race was extremely close, fewer
regions were up for grabs than was the case in 1976, when Jimmy
Carter beat Gerald Ford. Voters have become more set in their ways,
and despite the decline of formal party politics, many people are
actually more likely to cast a straight party ballot than they were a
generation ago.
As for why the 2000 election was so
close, Sullivan notes that Gore and Bush each won five of the 10
regions. If either Bush or his Democratic challenger can capture six
regions in 2004, he will just about be assured of victory. Sullivan
shows exactly how the campaigns ought to go about doing just that.
(Don't let Karl Rove see this.)
"Beyond Red and Blue" has already
attracted the attention of the Daily
Kos. Check out
this
wonderfully obscure take by DHinMI.
Sullivan's map is a political
junkie's dream. And it will change the way you think about
presidential politics.
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Tuesday, December 16, 2003
Adam Nagourney responds.
New York Times reporter Adam Nagourney, who yesterday
exposed
Stephanie Cutter of the John Kerry campaign as the author of an
anti-Dean e-mail despite Cutter's demand that the contents of her
message be reported as "background," has responded to Media Log's
item
on the flap.
Nagourney writes:
The Kerry people e-mailed
me a copy of your item about my story.
Feel free to call or e-mail any
time. I would have told you what I told Stephanie: I'm more than
happy to let a campaign aide go off the record, or on background.
But it's a two-way street: we've got to negotiate the rules in
advance. This is pretty basic: I do this a dozen times a day with
campaign officials.
But in my book, you can't fire
off an e-mail and demand preemptively that it be taken on
background and attributed to a "dem campaign," which is what
Stephanie did. That is particularly true in a case where one
campaign is ATTACKING the other. If other reporters want to agree
to that, fine. But I don't think it's fair, and I'm not going to
agree to those terms.
What made this case particularly
striking was that this was an e-mail sent out to a BUNCH of
reporters. And Stephanie was asking us to provide the Kerry
campaign cover while she attacked the Dean campaign for the same
thing that many of her colleagues were attacking Dean for on
record. That doesn't strike me as right.
A couple of
observations:
1. The scenario Nagourney describes
is something I identified yesterday as one of the possible
explanations. His e-mail to me confirms it, and I think he was
justified in not going along with Cutter's request.
2. Readers increasingly are
demanding transparency. I would have liked to see him stick in a
sentence yesterday explaining this to everyone rather than leaving
the average Times subscriber scratching her head.
Little People: the
Salon interview. Salon has posted a long
Q&A
(sub. req.) with me on my book, Little
People: Learning to See the World Through My Daughter's
Eyes. The interviewer
is Lisa Hedley, a documentarian
and the mother of a girl with dwarfism.
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Monday, December 15, 2003
How Murdoch, GE, and Microsoft
stood up to Big Media. Really! Glenn "InstaPundit"
Reynolds makes a heartwarming observation
about how the little guys are making big corporate media look
foolish.
Except it seems to escape him that in this case
the little guys are Rupert Murdoch, owner of the Weekly
Standard, and General Electric and Microsoft, co-owners of
MSNBC.com, where Reynolds is, you know, fighting the
power.
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There's so much echo I'm getting
feedback. Al Giordano, whom I quote in my current Boston
Phoenix piece on plans to start a liberal
radio network, has
responded
on his weblog, Big,
Left, Outside. How could I
resist completing the circle?
Al disagrees with my analysis,
which is that the network is going to have to get at least some of
National Public Radio's 22 million weekly listeners to tune in. He
writes:
Do the young folks who
hang out at the Daily
Kos, or the
Democratic
Underground, or the
hundred-plus local Indymedia
sites turn to NPR on the dial? I doubt that they do in great
numbers: It's almost never cited as a credible news source at
those places. What about the 400,000 members of Howard Dean's
"MeetUp" groups, and all the others in the ones for Kucinich,
Clark, Kerry and the others? And the people they talk to who don't
attend meetings but who are radio listeners. Most of my readers
don't consider NPR a credible, or interesting, source. All the
progressive juice from the youth that is making this current
presidential election more interesting every day comes from a
demographic very distinct from the NPR crowd.
Does the all-important base of
the progressive majority to come - young blacks and Latinos
&endash; listen to NPR? Are you kidding? Most of them feel as I
do: NPR is a bad, white, joke.
To which I say: fine, but if
Central
Air, as the new network is
called, is going to succeed, it's going to have to put up some big
numbers. Central Air claims to be on the verge of acquiring radio
stations in five major markets, including Boston. That could cost
somewhere between $100 million and $150 million. They're not going to
pay off the note just by bringing in folks who hang out at Indymedia
websites.
For the record, I'm an NPR listener
who'd gladly give Central Air 20 minutes a day, as long as it doesn't
suck.
But if Al and I disagree, it really
doesn't matter, because Central Air seems to be on the right track.
Rather than bringing in a liberal blowhard to counter Rush Limbaugh,
the network is aiming for fast and funny (without necessarily giving
up substance), bringing in people like the great ex-Boston humorist
Barry
Crimmins and, though the
final details haven't been worked out, Al Franken and Janeane
Garofalo.
They ought to consider putting
Giordano on the air, too.
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"... for some reason you
expected him to bite that soldier's finger a la Hanibal
Lecter." The celebrated Baghdad blogger Salam
Pax on the arrest and
upcoming trial of Saddam Hussein:
Why do all the interesting
things happen when I am not in baghdad?
at first I couldn't believe it
when I heard it, I got too excited when they reported that the
vice president Izat Ibrahim was arrested and then it turned out to
be nothing, so my reaction was "yeah right". but the images on TV
left no chance to doubt. He looked like a tramp getting a physical
and for some reason you expected him to bite that soldier's finger
a la Hanibal Lecter. But he just sat there. There was another
moment when the GC members were describing their meeting with
Saddam and told the journalists about the deriding remarks he made
when they asked him about the Sadir's assasination and the mass
graves, he sounded like he has totally lost it.
I want a fully functioning
Saddam who will sit on a chair in front of a TV camera for 10
hours everyday and tells us what exactly happened the last 30
years. I do not care about the fair trial thing Amnesty Int. is
worried about and I don'r really care much about the fact that the
Iraqi judges might not be fullt qualified, we all know he should
rot in hell. but what I do care about is that he gets a public
trial because I want to hear all the untold stories.
UPDATE: MediaChannel.org's
Danny
Schechter points to this
commentary
by Salam Pax in the Guardian.
posted at 9:59 AM |
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Adam Nagourney screws Kerry
campaign. But why? This is the sidebar to the sidebar to the
sidebar. Adam Nagourney reports
in the New York Times today on how the capture of Saddam
Hussein might affect the Democratic presidential campaign. Toward the
end appear two highly unusual paragraphs:
The strains this created
were evident on Sunday. Mr. Kerry's press secretary, Stephanie
Cutter, sent an e-mail message to news organizations listing
remarks Dr. Dean had made over the past six months that she said
demonstrated that his opposition to the war was "politically
driven."
But Ms. Cutter, reflecting the
concern among the campaigns that they not be viewed as turning a
foreign policy victory to political advantage, put a note on the
top of the statement demanding that it be reported as
"background" and attributed only to a Democratic
campaign.
On the face of it, this seems like
Nagourney committed a gross breach of protocol. As best as I can
tell, neither the Boston Globe, the Boston Herald, nor
the Washington Post exposed the Kerry campaign's role in
putting out the poison e-mail. (Nor did any of them actually use it.)
A search of Google
News shows that apparently
no one else did, either.
Did Nagourney have a justifiable
excuse to out Stephanie Cutter? Should she have known better than to
send out an e-mail demanding background treatment in advance, rather
than receiving assurances before she sent out the
e-mail?
Or did Nagourney just decide to
screw the Kerry campaign?
This demands further explanation. I
suggest that the Times' new public editor, Daniel Okrent,
address it in his first real column this coming Sunday.
UPDATE: Nagourney has
responded to this item.
The trial of the century.
No, not Michael Jackson's - Saddam Hussein's! In today's Boston
Globe, Vivienne Walt and Charlie Savage have a good
overview
of what is likely to be "the biggest human-rights case since
Nuremberg."
Along the same lines, the New
York Times' William Safire may be the only pundit so far to
depart
from the conventional wisdom - the C.W. being that Saddam showed
cowardice by surrendering without firing a shot. Safire
writes:
I think Saddam is still
Saddam - a meretricious, malevolent megalomaniac. He knows he is
going to die, either by death sentence or in jail at the hands of
a rape victim's family. Why did he not use his pistol to shoot it
out with his captors or to kill himself? Because he is looking
forward to the mother of all genocide trials, rivaling Nuremberg's
and topping those of Eichmann and Milosevic. There, in the global
spotlight, he can pose as the great Arab hero saving Islam from
the Bushes and the Jews.
Besides, those who are surprised
that Saddam didn't come out shooting obviously didn't see NBC's
Today show this morning.
In a surreal bit of play-acting,
Matt Lauer had Lieutenant Colonel Rick Francona (I think that was his
name; I couldn't read it with a "7 News Stormforce" logo taking up
the bottom quarter of the screen) lead him through a plywood model of
the "spider hole" that had been whipped together
overnight.
Surrounded by Christmas
decorations, Francona crawled in and showed how difficult it would
have been for Saddam - prone and looking up the barrels of a few
M-16s - even to pull his pistol.
posted at 9:53 AM |
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Sunday, December 14, 2003
Saddam captured. Wow. This
is the big one. We didn't even have the radio on this morning, so I
didn't know until about 10 minutes ago that Saddam Hussein had been
taken
into custody by US
forces.
This is incredibly good news, and
it gives the US a second chance at this entire misbegotten war and
occupation. The early reports are that thousands of Iraqis are
celebrating the capture of this evil bastard.
It may not end the insurgency, but
it should certainly help lift the fears of those who've worried that
Saddam might be coming back. Even though we never should have gone in
there, now that we're there we've got an obligation to get it
right.
Too bad Saddam's going to be
executed - from the photos, it looks like he could have starred in
Bad Santa II.
Worse than Porter, Geoghan, and
Shanley? It's going to get overlooked amid Saddam Mania, but
Kevin Cullen has a
long piece in today's
Boston Globe on a priest who may actually have murdered one of
his young sex-abuse victims.
Cullen's story about Danny Croteau,
who died at the age of 13, is a gripping, horrifying read. And
Cullen's reporting on the only suspect - Father Richard Lavigne - is
even more horrifying.
What's most striking is that,
nearly two years after the Globe began its Pulitzer-winning
coverage of pedophile priests, there are still stories of this
magnitude waiting to be told.
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Thursday, December 11, 2003
Koppel's disgraceful
performance. Ted Koppel decided that Tuesday night's Democratic
presidential debate was about him and his fellow members of the elite
media. I've got a piece
in today's Boston Phoenix about Koppel's sneering, dismissive
focus on the Al Gore endorsement, polls, and fundraising.
Koppel bloviated for a half-hour
asking every candidate but Howard Dean questions that were variations
on the same theme: Why don't you get out of the race right
now?
You should read William Saletan's
analysis
in Slate. Here's his best line:
These were the last 90
debating minutes of the year - a crucial opportunity for every
candidate other than Dean - and Koppel wasted 30 of those minutes
on questions barely worthy of aides in bars.
Bob Somerby at the Daily
Howler promises to weigh in
on Koppel's disgraceful performance later today.
Incredibly, there is at least one
reporter out there who thinks the real problem was that the
candidates were rude to Koppel. You can't make this stuff up. Sam
Pfeifle, the managing editor of the Portland Phoenix, directed
me to this exchange
at yesterday's White House press briefing, conducted by press
secretary Scott McClellan:
Q: Do you remember any
incident where the President has ever treated any member of the
media as insultingly as those Democrat presidential candidates did
to Ted Koppel last night?
McClellan: Didn't see the
debate, Les, so -
Q: You didn't see the debate?
You read about it. You certainly saw what those people did to Ted
Koppel. Now, has the President ever done anything -
McClellan: I'm focused on our
business here at the White House at the direction of the
President.
Dear Les: Koppel is seriously lucky
that none of the candidates walked over and pinched off his inflated
head.
Other than Dennis Kucinich's
excellent eruption (read the Phoenix piece for details),
perhaps the most telling exchange
was between Koppel and John Kerry. Remember, I'm not making this
up.
Koppel: Senator Kerry, at
the risk of exposing myself to yet another lecture - not from you,
from Congressman Kucinich and the others down here ...
(LAUGHTER)
... what is it that Governor
Dean has done right? Whether or not people want to
acknowledge it, he does have more money than anybody else in this
campaign; he is doing better in the polls than any of the rest of
you. He's got to be doing something right. Is there
anything to be learned from his campaign?
Kerry: Well, Ted, I'll tell
you, there's something to be learned from your question. And
if I were an impolite person, I'd tell you where you could take
your polls.
(LAUGHTER)
(APPLAUSE)
You know, this has got to stop.
Kerry then went on to talk about a
New Hampshire family whose water supply has been ruined by corporate
polluters.
Afterward, as the C-SPAN camera
panned the spin room, it caught Kerry schmoozing up CNN's Tucker
Carlson and another guy. Kerry was telling them that the most
important difference between him and Dean is that Dean wants to
repeal the middle-class tax cuts of the Bush years.
Why didn't you talk about
that? chirped Carlson.
"We spent all our time talking
about polls," Kerry responded with a weary smile. He gave the other
guy a playful pat on the cheek and walked away.
And now we learn that ABC News -
Koppel's network, if you'd forgotten - has decided to stop having
producers (off-camera reporters) travel with Kucinich, Al Sharpton,
and Carol Moseley Braun.
Kucinich is outraged,
of course. I'm put off more by the timing than by the decision
itself. The media have a right to make some judgments; they
are not obligated to spend money to cover every candidate. And the
next president is not going to be Kucinich, Moseley Braun, or
Sharpton.
But for ABC to do this the day
after Kucinich's one shining moment in the campaign shows a sickening
disregard for appearances and propriety. Besides, having covered the
three for this long, why not just keep doing it for a few more weeks,
until the New Hampshire primary is over and a few actual people have
had a chance to vote?
This has been a depressing week for
anyone who worries about the media's willingness to play their
crucial role in a democratic society.
New in this week's
Phoenix. In addition to the debate piece, I take a look at
the prospects for a liberal
radio network to compete
with the likes of Rush Limbaugh.
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Wednesday, December 10, 2003
Driving to work with Christopher
Lydon. Howard Dean has showed how technology can change the way
we choose a president -- or at least a Democratic presidential
nominee.
Christopher Lydon may be changing
how we learn about such things.
I've been aware of Lydon's
weblog
for a few months. Last week, while I was talking with him about
something else, he mentioned an interview he'd done with Dean's
campaign manager, Joe Trippi, as something he was particularly proud
of.
Lydon has written up the
highlights, but I wanted to hear the whole thing. The
interview
consists of three MP3 files, totaling about an hour -- just about the
length of his old Connection show on WBUR Radio (90.9 FM). I
saved them on my hard drive, burned them onto a CD, and popped it
into my car stereo.
It was a terrific interview, with
Lydon prodding Trippi to talk about this odd marriage between the
Dean campaign and the Internet. I don't have any direct quotes --
hey, I was driving! -- but Trippi offered considerable insight,
comparing the Dean online campaign to Linux, which is an open-source
alternative to Windows and the Mac OS to which anyone can
contribute.
Trippi also disdained the "command
and control" orientation of traditional candidates, including Wesley
Clark, who smothered the Internet enthusiasm that had originally
fueled his entry into the race by seeking to replace it with a
top-down hierarchy.
Trippi was especially good on
fundraising, observing that if the Dean campaign can achieve its goal
of getting two million supporters to contribute $100 each, it will
have managed the unthinkable feat of matching George W. Bush's $200
million campaign stash. Dean has taken a lot of grief for opting out
of the voluntary public-financing system. But it strikes me that what
he's trying to accomplish is actually a much more profound reform
than sticking to an outmoded patchwork of special-interest
contributions, Byzantine spending limits, and matching federal
funds.
As you will see, there's a lot of
good stuff on Lydon's blog. Lydon -- whose daytime home these days is
the Berkman
Center for Internet & Society,
at Harvard Law School -- sounds just as sharp as he did on the
radio.
Of course, Internet audio is
nothing new. But I wouldn't have listened to the Trippi interview if
I'd had to be chained to my computer. What's great about what Lydon
is doing is that he's taking advantage of the fact that technology
has continued to improve.
When Lydon
left WBUR in 2001 in the
midst of an incredibly nasty contract dispute, most Internet users
were still stuck with dial-up connections, and CD burners were rare.
These days, broadband is widely available, and many users can easily
transfer audio files to CDs or to portable MP3 players.
The fundamental problem with the
Internet, of course, is that no one knows how to make any money from
it. Money's not the key to everything, but people have to eat.
Lydon's online interviews are generating no money -- they're free,
and there are no ads. That's great for you and me, but not so good
for anyone looking to follow his path.
If you miss hearing Chris Lydon --
and you know you do -- check this out.
The Queen of Sheba smears Howard
Dean. I'm a day late, but I didn't want to pass up the chance to
comment on New York Times columnist David Brooks's
deeply
stupid piece. Here's his
Tuesday lead:
My moment of illumination
about Howard Dean came one day in Iowa when I saw him lean into a
crowd and begin a sentence with, "Us rural people...."
Dean grew up on Park Avenue and
in East Hampton. If he's a rural person, I'm the Queen of Sheba.
Yet he said it with conviction. He said it uninhibited by any fear
that someone might laugh at or contradict him.
It was then that I saw how Dean
had liberated himself from his past, liberated himself from his
record and liberated himself from the restraints that bind
conventional politicians. He has freed himself to say anything, to
be anybody.
Well, my moment of
illumination about how the right is going to try to destroy Dean came
yesterday, when I read this tripe by someone who normally comes off
as a conservative of the sensible, non-mouth-foaming
variety.
Dean moved to Vermont -- one of the
most rural states in the country, if you don't count the big empty
ones out West -- in the late 1970s, shortly after graduating from
medical school. He served as a Vermont legislator and lieutenant
governor for most of the '80s, and became governor in
1991.
If any candidate has the right to
describe himself as a "rural person" in this race, it is Howard Dean.
Brooks's outburst is so plainly, obviously wrong that I can't believe
he wrote it.
posted at 9:35 AM |
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Tuesday, December 09, 2003
"F" is for "fundamentally
flawed." The profoundly silly reaction to John Kerry's use of the
F-word has done a quick fade, thanks to Al Gore's endorsement of
Howard Dean.
But Kerry's invoking one of George
W. Bush's favorite words shouldn't obscure the best quote he gave to
Rolling
Stone, in answer to a
question about Bush's trustworthiness before the congressional vote
on Iraq. Kerry said:
It seems to me that we had
a right to expect the president of the United States to live up to
his word. It was disgraceful, one of the most egregious,
fundamentally flawed moments of foreign policy that I can think of
in my lifetime.
Dean couldn't have put it any
better.
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Monday, December 08, 2003
Gore's revenge. As John
Kerry might say, Al Gore's surprise
endorsement of Howard Dean
could be seen as a big F-you to Bill Clinton. Here's why: Kerry,
sadly, has fizzled. Dean has all but wrapped it up.
Though it's possible to concoct a
scenario by which Dick Gephardt might possibly win, the only
plausible person standing between Dean and the Democratic nomination
is the Clintons' candidate, Wesley Clark.
Endorsements don't mean much, but
the fact that Dean's renegade campaign has been embraced by the
ultimate Establishment Democrat surely counts for
something.
Josh
Marshall says it's an
F-you, too: to Joe Lieberman. Well, yes, it's that too, but Lieberman
wasn't going anywhere.
Kaus:
"Maybe Democratic primary voters would like to, you know, vote. New
Hampshirites, in particular, don't like to take orders." Mickey also
wonders whether Clinton might weigh in.
Read TNR's Ryan
Lizza on the split between
the Clinton and Gore wings of the party.
Andrew
Sullivan conveniently
overlooks the fact that Gore beat Sully's boy Bush by a half-million
votes.
John
Ellis calls the Gore
endorsement "a transformational event" for Dean.
Atrios:
"Looking around the net I see the responses range from 'Brilliant!'
to 'Al Gore has doomed the election!' with nothing in between. Can't
we all just get along."
Should be quite a debate tomorrow
night.
posted at 6:37 PM |
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So what do we do about
Nomar? The whole notion of trading Manny Ramirez for Alex
Rodriguez is predicated on the belief that Nomar Garciaparra doesn't
want to play in Boston. Presumably, even the Red Sox can't afford to
pay both Rodriguez, a shortstop and the best player in baseball, and
Garciaparra, a shortstop and one of the best players in
baseball.
Now Nomar has broken his silence,
making it clear that he wants to stay here and that he's upset the
Sox have been talking with the Rodriguez camp behind his
back.
The Herald's
Tony
Massarotti has Nomar on the
record. The Globe's Shira
Springer has Garciaparra's
agent, Arn Tellem.
This is quite a dilemma, isn't it?
It's unimaginable that the Red Sox would end their pursuit of
Rodriguez just to keep Garciaparra happy. The sad thing is that this
may be more about management's understandable urge to dump Ramirez
than anything to do with Nomar.
Would it be possible to trade
Ramirez for Rodriguez, get Nomar to sign in the $11 million-to-$12
million range, and move him to third? Who knows? And even if
Garciaparra were willing to settle for less money in order to stay
here, the Sox would still be paying more than $30 million for two
players -- nearly $50 million for three if you throw in Pedro
Martínez's $17.5 million.
On the other hand, if the Rodriguez
trade doesn't happen, then Manny stays here -- and his salary next
year will be almost as high as Rodriguez's. And, of course, Nomar
will stay, too.
So maybe there is a way to get
Rodriguez, dump Ramirez, and keep Nomar.
Wouldn't that be
something?
Fat free. Daniel Akst has a
good piece
in the Boston Globe Magazine on the obesity wars.
The ostensible subject -- legal
responsibility and whether lawyers might successfully sue McDonald's,
KFC, et al. -- isn't all that interesting. But the background
information on the changing thinking regarding carbohydrates (once
good, now bad) and fat (once bad, now less bad) is
excellent.
And though I'm unsympathetic to the
idea of some enterprising Clarence Darrow bringing down the fast-food
industry, we nevertheless find ourselves in an unusual societal
dilemma.
People are eating more fast food
than ever before because they don't have time to cook. And fast food
is almost uniformly unhealthy. As Akst notes, drive down a suburban
strip, or walk around the food court at your local mall. Is there
anywhere you can go where you can eat a reasonably healthy
meal?
Subway's sales have rocketed since
it began stressing healthy alternatives to grease and fries. Maybe
some of the other chains will take notice.
More on Okrent's
introduction. A couple of Media Log readers took issue with my
observation that New York Times public editor Daniel Okrent
should have gotten down to business yesterday rather than introducing
himself to readers.
Marjorie Arons-Barron, president of
Barron Associates Worldwide and former editorialist for WCVB-TV
(Channel 5), writes:
Part of the problem with
the public's attitude toward newspapers, and especially toward
newspaper editorialists, is their anonymity. Many wonder "who the
heck is he/she to tell me what to think?" As a broadcast
editorialist, I was a real person for the Greater Boston area for
two decades. People stopped me in the supermarket or at the gas
station to sound off and dispute something I had said. And still
there were those who undoubtedly thought "who the heck is she ...
etc."
Those who don't know Dan Okrent
might legitimately ask the same question. And, while you might say
that writers like Jurkowitz can explain who he is, a column such
as today's is a good opportunity for Okrent to benchmark his
principles and give us standards against which to measure
him. Wouldn't it be nice if the Globe or Herald
editorial board occasionally did that?
Score one for transparency. But I'd
still rather not have to wait until December 21 to find out what
Okrent thinks of his new colleagues' work.
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Sunday, December 07, 2003
NY Times gets two-week
reprieve. All things considered, I think New York Times
readers would have been better served today if the new public editor,
Daniel Okrent, had plunged right in rather than writing a
gaseous
self-introduction.
Mark Jurkowitz had a good
profile
of Okrent in the Boston Globe last Wednesday, noting, among
other things, that Okrent is the father of Rotisserie
Baseball.
"I now know how J. Robert
Oppenheimer felt inventing the atomic bomb," Okrent told Jurkowitz.
"It's not the thing I want to be remembered for, but I will be."
Given Okrent's rueful tone, it's not surprising that he didn't even
mention it in his Times piece.
So fine, now we know all about
Okrent. "See you in two weeks," he concludes. Dan, we'll all look
forward to it if you decide to start telling us about the
Times and stop telling us about yourself.
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Saturday, December 06, 2003
Dean, Kerry, and McGovern. I
was taken to task yesterday by a reader who thought I was too facile
or Kaus-like or something to jump on the latest polls showing that
John Kerry is behind Howard Dean in New Hampshire by something like
30 points. Fair enough. The news was familiar, and I didn't exactly
add a lot of value by regurgitating the numbers.
Still, it's fascinating to see the
hand-wringing going on now over the fact that Dean will -- barring a
biblical-scale implosion -- win the Democratic nomination. Eric
Alterman argues
that Kerry, whom he likes much better than Dean, is also infinitely
more electable against George W. Bush. Josh Marshall isn't quite so
certain, but also worries
that Dean is toast. The emerging wisdom is that it's McGovern all
over again.
Well, I worry how Dean is going to
fare against Bush, too. And I also think Kerry is the most
experienced and best qualified of the Democrats. But, at some level,
if Kerry is more electable than Bush, shouldn't he be beating Dean?
Frankly, at this point it's easier to construct a scenario that Dick
Gephardt or Wesley Clark will somehow emerge to give Dean a scare
than to picture how Kerry can recover.
Not to push this too far. After
all, if John McCain had somehow managed to defeat Bush in the
Republican primaries four years ago, he probably would have beaten Al
Gore by five or six points. But McCain, despite his conservative
stands on many issues, was in the wrong party in 2000. Dean and Kerry
are both real Democrats, and thus there's some reason to think that
the one who is able to win the nomination is, by definition, the more
electable of the two.
Of the nine Democrats, only three
manage to talk like normal people: Wesley Clark, Carol Moseley Braun,
and Dean. The rest, most definitely including Kerry, speechify, and
it doesn't work in the modern television environment. Dean has
managed to combine his plain speaking with a brilliant,
Internet-based campaign that's bringing in tons of money. His early
opposition to the war in Iraq continues to be his biggest selling
point.
As for Kerry, it's not just that he
voted for the war, which was a perfectly respectable if wrong-headed
stance. (How could he not have figured out by the fall of 2002 that
the Bush White House lies so promiscuously?) It's that he has such a
hard time explaining it, and that he then turned around and voted
against the $87 billion in reconstruction money, which, regardless of
where you stand on Iraq, seems to be needed pretty
desperately.
And yes, I realize that Dean has
had the advantage of not having to vote on anything. But that's why
governors get elected president and senators don't.
Ironically, Kerry is more liberal
than Dean on the environment, social programs for the poor, Medicare,
you name it. For the most part, he probably represents my political
values better than Dean does. But Dean's won. As Marshall asks, how
can anyone expect that Kerry, having blown a large lead in New
Hampshire, will somehow persuade voters there to switch back
to him?
Democrats shouldn't worry quite so
much about Dean. If he's sharp enough to beat Kerry, Clark, Gephardt,
Lieberman, et al., then he might be the best candidate the
party can put up against Bush next November.
posted at 9:53 PM |
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Friday, December 05, 2003
It's all over but the
voting. Late to Blogland today, but didn't want to let the latest
Dean-Kerry poll numbers slip by.
The Boston Herald's David
Guarino plays
it up big today: the latest
Zogby
poll of New Hampshire
Democrats shows Howard Dean at 42 percent and John Kerry at 12
percent. The Manchester-based American
Research Group has Dean 45,
Kerry 13.
What this means is simple. It's
over. It's so over that I realize I'm rather late in saying
this.
Today's Washington Post has
a big piece
by Dan Balz on how Kerry plans to come back. The spin from the Kerry
campaign is pretty unconvincing -- so much so that The Note
calls
Balz's article a "para-obit."
At this point, a Dean loss would
qualify as the worst choke job since the 1978 Red Sox.
Consider:
-- Dean has not only held a big
lead since last summer, but it keeps growing.
-- He's got more money than anyone
else.
-- Potential voters are going to
tune out presidential politics until after New Year's. The New
Hampshire primary takes place on January 27, just a few weeks
later.
-- Though Dean has a penchant for
putting his foot in his mouth and for being slow to apologize, his
supporters don't seem to care.
There are a few clouds on Dean's
horizon. He's got to back down from his ridiculous refusal to release
his gubernatorial papers, for which he got poked by Boston
Globe and
New
York Times editorials
today.
But short of the Mother of All
Gaffes, it's hard to imagine how Dean could blow the enormous lead he
now has in both poll numbers and money. Democrats, meet your
nominee.
As for Kerry, how does secretary of
state sound?
Of course, his nephew is a lot
smarter than Sean Hannity.
Alan Colmes, the liberal
co-host of the Fox News debate program Hannity &
Colmes, lost an argument to his nephew Bryan while babysitting
the 8-year-old Monday.
Read the whole item at
The
Onion ("News in
Brief").
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Thursday, December 04, 2003
The Plame game. Media Log
reader K.W. is very excited that Valerie Plame, the former undercover
CIA operative outed by the White House last summer, has allowed
herself to be photographed by Vanity Fair. (For my earlier
take on the scandal, click
here.)
The pertinent fact is that her
husband, former ambassador Joseph Wilson of Nigerien-yellowcake
fame, had claimed she would rather "chop off her right arm" than have
her picture taken.
Writes K.W.: "Will you not concede
that this was a bogus 'scandal' hatched by Mr. Wilson and spurred on
by Democrats and a left leaning press (you included) who are just
desperate to bring Bush down. Just wondering if you'll say 'my bad'
on this one?"
Well, uh, no. And no.
K.W. directed me to this
piece
by Slate's Timothy Noah, who labels Wilson's previous
insistence that his wife would remain invisible the "Whopper of the
Week." Noah also predicts that this "will surely give the Bush
Justice Department whatever slim justification it seeks in dropping
its Plamegate investigation."
Glenn "InstaPundit" Reynolds is
very
excited, too:
No word on whether she's
missing an arm.... Wilson says the pictures won't identify her.
Sorry -- if you're really an undercover spy, and really worried
about national security, you don't do this sort of thing. Unless,
perhaps, you're a self-promoter first, and a spy second. Or your
husband is.
Let's concede that this wasn't
smart. Wilson was already hurting the cause with his aggressive media
whoredom. By letting herself be photographed -- albeit unrecognizably
-- Plame has harmed her image of being more serious, and thus more
credible, than her husband.
But what has changed? Plame's
career as an undercover agent was over last July, when syndicated
columnist Robert Novak passed along that sleazy little tidbit from
his pals at the White House. If Novak's act endangered the projects
Plame was working on and the people she associated with, the fact
that we now have some vague idea of what she looks like doesn't
affect that.
As Noah suggests, seeming to enjoy
this too much may destroy any hopes of getting to the bottom of this.
But that doesn't mean there isn't a bottom to be gotten
to.
New in this week's
Phoenix. New England Cable News will air a nuanced
documentary
on the life and times of the notorious Father Paul Shanley, who faces
numerous criminal and civil complaints alleging that he sexually
abused children. (Click here
for more information and video clips.)
Also, the Boston Globe is
losing
two key staffers.
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Tuesday, December 02, 2003
Ice, snow, no go. We got a
half-inch of snow and a bit of ice this morning. So, naturally,
no
one can drive!
I just got back from an
hour-and-a-half in my car. Not that I actually made it
anywhere. No, I'm back home. I had to cancel my appearance on The
Pat Whitley Show, on WRKO Radio (AM 680), even after he and his
producer, Amy Hirshberg, were kind enough to move it off from 10 to
11 a.m.
I heard a radio report calling this
maybe the worst traffic back-up in state history. Apparently drivers
were pulling off Route 128 in the Burlington area this morning and
sleeping after several hours of getting nowhere.
Even allowing for some exaggeration
-- there were, after all, a few traffic problems in the Blizzard of
1978 -- it is pretty horrifying out there.
posted at 10:41 AM |
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Smart move -- with an
asterisk. Boston mayor Tom Menino wants to reduce the ticky-tacky
factor at historic Faneuil Hall, and replace souvenir shops with a
first-class National Parks Service visitors center. Donovan Slack has
the story
in today's Globe.
On the face of it, this sounds like
a terrific idea. There's something cheesy about letting the first
floor of Faneuil Hall -- one of our cradles of liberty -- be used as
a junk emporium.
But I pulled up short when I saw
this old quote from Frank Jones, who was involved in similar efforts
in 1990: "We're trying to raise Faneuil Hall to the same level of
consciousness as Independence Hall and the Statue of
Liberty."
I hope Menino doesn't intend to
pursue that particular vision. One of the things that makes Boston's
historic sites so compelling -- and so different from those in other
cities, including Philadelphia -- is that they are still being
used, and are not simply monuments to the past.
The reverential hush that surrounds
Independence
Hall, with its velvet-roped
exhibits of where the founders met and debated, may be appropriate to
that particular venue. But I'd hate to see the same thing happen in
Boston.
For that matter, the National Parks
Service hasn't exactly done a kick-ass job at the current visitors
center, at the Old
State House, which has the
feel of a little-noted afterthought.
Before moving ahead, Menino needs a
commitment that things will be a lot different if the agency
relocates to Faneuil Hall.
Why don't we just go back to
paper ballots? I'm serious. We'd have to wait longer for the
results. But the problems of technology appear to be
insurmountable.
New York Times columnist
Paul Krugman today writes
about the massive potential for fraud that exists with touch-screen
voting machines, which leave no paper trail. It wouldn't be difficult
to program such a machine to throw an extra vote to Candidate X for
every 20 ballots that are cast.
The best question comes from
Congressman Rush Holt, of New Jersey, who has filed legislation
requiring both a paper trail and open software standards. When told
by opponents of his bill that there has never been a problem with the
new technology, Holt asked, "How do you know?"
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Monday, December 01, 2003
Another gay news day. After
a week away, same-sex marriage is still a huge news story, and it's
likely to remain that way for some time to come.
The big news, of course, was the
Boston Globe/WBZ-TV poll
showing that 50 percent support the state Supreme Judicial Court
decision ruling that same-sex couples have a constitutional right to
wed, and that 38 percent are opposed.
That's not quite the "solid margin"
that the Globe portrayed it as, but it's surely better than
the reverse would have been. For legislators trying to decide whom to
pander to, it sends a powerful message.
On Friday, former state attorney
general James Shannon argued
that the man who currently holds that job, Tom O'Reilly, has a
reading-comprehension problem. Reilly has been trying to fudge it,
saying the SJC would be satisfied with a civil-unions law, even
though such a law would fall short of full marriage rights. Responded
Shannon:
It is hard to understand
how any of our political leaders can argue that the recent Supreme
Judicial Court decision could mean anything but extending civil
marriage to same-sex couples.
Which brings us back to
today:
- New York Times
conservative columnist William
Safire comes out
cautiously for same-sex marriage, joining his right-leaning
colleague, David Brooks (no longer freely available online), who
was quite a bit more enthusiastic about it last week. And
syndicated conservative columnist George
Will yesterday came
close to endorsing it, albeit not without some inane blather about
polygamy. (At least this time Will left the critters
out of it.)
- Syndicated columnist
Robert
Novak explains why
same-sex marriage is the last thing that George W. Bush wants to
deal with during his election (whoops! I almost said
re-election) campaign. Even better, the Prince of
Darkness's online column is accompanied by an ad promising
"Relationship-minded Gays & Lesbians Pictures, Profiles, Chat
and More!"
- Today's Globe
surveys
state legislators and finds that it's by no means a slam-dunk that
a joint session of the House and Senate will approve a
constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriage when it
convenes in February. The earliest an amendment could go on the
ballot is in 2006. If the legislature fails to approve it in
February, it would be even later (if ever) than that.
Keller on Kerry. For some
reason I don't think Jon Keller likes John Kerry. Yesterday, WLVI-TV
(Channel 56) broadcast a Keller at Large half-hour special
on Keller's encounters with Kerry over the years.
And though I suspect Keller would
have something critical to say even if Kerry walked on water, the
program contained some valuable insights into why Kerry's
presidential campaign simply hasn't taken off.
While acknowledging Kerry's bravery
in Vietnam, in his later opposition to that war, and in his dogged
pursuit in the Senate of international money-launderers, Keller noted
that Kerry has committed "many instances of fence-straddling and
rhetorical trimming."
The issues range from Iraq to
education reform, from the Clinton "scandals" (where Ted Kennedy was
much more forthright in supporting the president) to the Title V
septic-system regulations, about which Kerry professed zero knowledge
even though environmental groups had hailed him for supporting the
legislation that created those regs.
For good measure, Keller whacked
Kerry for buying an $8600 motorcycle during a year when he gave only
$175 to charity.
Kerry's big tactical mistake was to
refuse an interview with Keller. No doubt he could have chewed up
long chunks of the clock, shifting the focus away from what Keller
wanted to say and toward what he wanted to say.
Then again, Kerry's entire
presidential campaign so far has been one tactical mistake after
another. Democrats who are terrified at the prospect of Howard Dean's
winning the nomination in a year when foreign policy is likely to be
the biggest issue can only be disheartened by Kerry's inability to
rev it up.
More shameless
self-promotion. I'll be on The Pat Whitley Show, on WRKO
Radio (AM 680), on Tuesday at 10 a.m. to talk about Little
People. And on
Wednesday at 7 p.m., I'll be doing a reading and signing at the
Barnes & Noble at Boston University, in Kenmore
Square.
posted at 9:16 AM |
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MEDIA LOG ARCHIVES
Dan Kennedy is senior writer and media critic for the Boston Phoenix.